Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) has died, triggering a rapid succession process in South Carolina. Gov. Henry McMaster (R) must appoint a temporary replacement, while a special primary election is set for Aug. 11 to determine the Republican nominee for the November general election. President Donald Trump has privately indicated he has a preferred candidate but declined to name them publicly out of respect for Graham's family.
Key developments
- Trump’s influence: The president told NBC News he has a preferred replacement but won’t disclose the name yet. His allies are reportedly working to block Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) from consideration, citing her past clashes with Trump and poor gubernatorial primary performance.
- Mace’s potential bid: Mace, who lost her gubernatorial race, is exploring a run for Graham’s seat, according to sources. She has not publicly confirmed her intentions but has paid tribute to Graham on social media.
- House Republicans’ concerns: Senior GOP lawmakers are urging McMaster to avoid appointing a House member to the Senate, fearing it could further erode their slim majority.
- Appointment and election timeline: McMaster’s temporary appointee will serve until January. The special primary will be held Aug. 11, with a runoff on Aug. 25 if no candidate secures 50% of the vote. The winner will face Democrat Annie Andrews in November.
Potential candidates and dynamics
- Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette is seen as a top contender for the temporary appointment, given her close ties to McMaster and Trump’s endorsement in her gubernatorial bid.
- Rep. Joe Wilson (R-S.C.) has ruled out a Senate run, citing the importance of maintaining the House majority.
- Graham’s legacy: The late senator won his primary in June with 57% of the vote, reflecting his strong GOP support. His death leaves a vacancy in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1998.
Political implications
- Trump’s role: His endorsement could significantly influence the primary, as seen in Evette’s gubernatorial campaign. His opposition to Mace may shape the field.
- Midterm impact: The race will test GOP unity in South Carolina, where Graham was a dominant figure. The tight primary timeline could limit candidate preparation.
- Democratic prospects: Andrews, a doctor, won her primary comfortably but faces an uphill battle in a deeply red state.