President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social on Thursday that if Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton loses his Senate race next month, blame should fall on Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) and former White House adviser Karl Rove. Trump accused both of "doing everything possible" to hinder Paxton’s campaign against Democratic nominee James Talarico, whom he described as "the antithesis of Texas values."
The president’s remarks came as recent polls show Talarico holding a low-to-mid single-digit lead over Paxton in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate since 1988. Trump’s post follows his controversial endorsement of Paxton in the Republican primary, which contributed to Cornyn’s loss in that contest. The race has become one of the most expensive Senate battles of the 2026 cycle, with GOP groups spending over $370 million compared to nearly $235 million by Democratic-aligned groups, according to AdImpact.
Neither Cornyn’s office nor Rove responded to requests for comment on Trump’s post. The president’s statement reflects ongoing tensions within the Texas Republican Party, where Paxton’s polarizing tenure as attorney general and history of legal troubles have divided the GOP base. The outcome of the race could influence broader Senate control dynamics, as Democrats aim to secure a majority.
Background: Paxton’s Campaign and Trump’s Endorsement
Paxton, a first-term senator, secured Trump’s endorsement in the GOP primary, defeating Cornyn, a four-term incumbent. Trump framed the race as a test of loyalty, criticizing Cornyn for perceived disloyalty to his administration. Paxton’s campaign has faced scrutiny over his legal history, including a 2023 impeachment trial and ongoing federal investigations. Despite these challenges, Paxton has positioned himself as a staunch conservative aligned with Trump’s priorities.
Polling and Competitive Landscape
Recent polling indicates a tight race, with Talarico maintaining a slight edge in public surveys. The contest has drawn national attention due to its potential impact on Senate control, with both parties heavily investing in advertising and grassroots efforts. Texas, a reliably Republican state, has seen shifting political dynamics in recent years, including a narrower-than-expected margin for Trump over Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.
Financial Stakes and Party Divisions
The race has become the most expensive of the cycle, with Republican-aligned groups outspending Democrats by a significant margin. The spending disparity underscores the high stakes for both parties, as control of the Senate hangs in the balance. Within the Texas GOP, divisions persist over Paxton’s electability and leadership, with some party members questioning his ability to unite the base or appeal to independent voters.
The outcome of the election, scheduled for next month, will determine whether Texas remains a Republican stronghold in the Senate or shifts toward Democratic representation for the first time in decades.