One week before the midterm elections, President Donald Trump's job approval rating stands at 34% approve and 60% disapprove, according to Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters. This represents a net approval rating of -26, down from -7 at the start of his second term in January 2025.
Trump is underwater in 39 states, including every major battleground state, with his highest net approval in North Dakota (+17) and Wyoming (+15). His lowest ratings are in Kentucky (-11), which has seen the largest decline since January 2025, and Michigan (-25), a key battleground state.
The president’s approval has declined across multiple demographic groups since the start of his second term. Among Latino voters, net approval has dropped from -22 to -38, while approval among Black respondents has fallen from -55 to -67. Among 18- to 34-year-olds, net approval has declined from -28 to -53. Even within his base, Trump’s net approval among self-described Trump voters has fallen from +85 to +65, and has turned negative in the South, from +2 to -20.
Trump’s standing remains a central factor in the midterm elections, where control of Congress is at stake. His approval ratings could influence turnout, campaign messaging, and Republican prospects in closely contested states. Trump has recently embarked on a nationwide campaign blitz, visiting Iowa, Florida, Georgia, and Michigan, urging supporters to "pretend I’m on the ballot."
State-by-state breakdown
Trump maintains positive net approval in 10 states, including Arkansas (+9), West Virginia (+8), Idaho (+4), and Oklahoma (+4). However, he is underwater in six states hosting closely watched Senate races, including Georgia (-24) and Nevada (-23).
Polling methodology
The figures are based on 138,839 responses collected between January 20, 2025, and October 26, 2026, as part of Civiqs’ rolling tracker of registered voters. The net approval rating is calculated as approval minus disapproval.
Context and implications
Presidential approval does not directly predict individual election results but shapes the national environment in which candidates compete. Republicans face an uphill battle in turning out voters, with interest in the election 10 points lower among Republicans than Democrats, according to a CNBC All-America Economic Survey. Among registered voters, 44% say their biggest worry if Republicans control Congress is allowing Trump to operate beyond his constitutional power, while 28% cite concerns over Democratic Socialists' policies under Democratic control.